January 2026 Ahwatukee Housing Market Update

Q: What’s the average home price in Ahwatukee?

This report tracks annual median sold price by ZIP (not a mean/average). As of 1/1/26: $519,500 (85044), $625,000 (85048), $660,000 (85045).

Q: Are Ahwatukee homes selling under asking price?

Yes. As of 1/1/26, average sale-to-list ranges about 97.82%–99.18% across the included ZIPs.

Q: Which Ahwatukee ZIP is most competitive right now?

As of 1/1/26, 85045 has the lowest months of supply (excl. UCB) at 2.6 and the highest average sale-to-list at 99.18% among the included ZIPs.

2026-01-01 2025-12-01 1/1/2612/1/251/1/25 95162721 464.098.95% $519,50084.0%32 1/1/2612/1/251/1/25 277167 762.699.18% $660,00063.6%89 1/1/2612/1/251/1/25 90122522 753.597.82% $625,00068.8%32

As of: January 1, 2026 • Compared to: December 1, 2025 • Coverage: 85044, 85045, 85048 • Source: Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)

Ahwatukee Living: Ahwatukee Lifestyle Guide

Ahwatukee • Phoenix • Arizona • Market Updates

Ahwatukee Housing Market — January 2026

Q: What’s happening in the Ahwatukee housing market right now?

Snapshot date: Jan 1, 2026 Coverage: 85044 • 85045 • 85048 Call: ZIP-dependent

Inventory (Months of Supply): 2.6–4.0. Lower = sellers have more leverage. Higher = buyers have more leverage.
Speed (Days On Market): 46–76 days. Lower DOM = faster sales. Higher DOM = more time/negotiation.
Negotiation (Sale-to-List Price): 97.82%–99.18%. Closer to 100% = less discount given.
Anchor ZIP 85048: MOS 3.5, DOM 75, sale-to-list 97.82%, annual median sold price $625,000.

How to use this report:

Buying: use MOS + DOM to choose how hard to push on price/credits and how picky you can be.
Selling: use sale-to-list + DOM to decide if you need a sharper price/cleaner condition to avoid sitting.
Always: use the ZIP you’re actually in. Ahwatukee is not one uniform market.

Written by Andrea Scheppe, Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.

The A-ha! Moment: Stop guessing based on headlines. In this snapshot, 85045 is tighter inventory (2.6 months), and 85044 is looser (4.0 months). If you’re buying in the looser ZIP, you can usually push harder on price/credits and be choosier. If you’re selling in the looser ZIP, you need to be clean, priced to comps, and always ready for buyer showings.

Anchor ZIP (85048) median sold price Annual sales median

$625,000 UP (615,000 → 625,000)

Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB) 85048

3.5 mo LOOSER (3.2 → 3.5)

Speed (median DOM, sales) 85048

75 days FASTER (81 → 75)

Negotiation (avg sale price % of list) 85048

97.82% TIGHTER (97.65% → 97.82%)

Market call

Market: ZIP-DEPENDENT

Tightest MOS: 85045 (2.6) Loosest MOS: 85044 (4.0)

Inventory (who has leverage)

85045: 2.6 MOS (tighter)
85048: 3.5 MOS
85044: 4.0 MOS (looser)

Speed (how fast homes are selling)

85044: DOM 46 days
85048: DOM 75 days
85045: DOM 76 days

Negotiation (discount signal)

85045: sale-to-list 99.18%
85044: sale-to-list 98.95%
85048: sale-to-list 97.82%

Pulse vs last month (12/1 → 1/1)

85048: actives 81 → 90, pendings 19 → 12, sales/month 23 → 22
85044: actives 88 → 95, pendings 17 → 16, sales/month 36 → 21
85045: actives 33 → 27, pendings 4 → 7, sales/month 10 → 7

Buyer standings — January 2026

Use MOS to set expectations: higher MOS usually means more negotiating room. Here, 85044 reads loosest at 4.0; 85045 reads tightest at 2.6.
Use sale-to-list to estimate discount: 97.82%–99.18% means most sales are under asking, but the size varies by ZIP.
Use DOM to decide how hard to push: higher DOM (up to 76 days here) tends to be where credits, price reductions, and better terms show up.

Seller standings — January 2026

Sale-to-list under 100% is the warning: buyers are getting discounts/credits often enough to show up in the average.
ZIP matters: tighter inventory (85045 at 2.6 MOS) typically resists price cuts more than looser inventory (85044 at 4.0 MOS).
DOM is the “stale risk” signal: higher DOM pockets (up to 76 days here) tend to punish overpriced listings faster.

Notes & FAQ

What this is

A rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month) using Ahwatukee ZIP-level single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.

FAQ

What’s the average home price in Ahwatukee?

This report tracks annual median sold price by ZIP (not a mean/average). As of 1/1/26: $519,500 (85044), $625,000 (85048), $660,000 (85045).

What is the most expensive part of Ahwatukee?

In this snapshot, the highest annual median sold price is in 85045 at $660,000 (vs $625,000 in 85048 and $519,500 in 85044).

Are there homes for sale in Ahwatukee AZ with pools?

Yes—use the live search link on the bottom of this page to filter for pools. Expect higher price points.

Are Ahwatukee homes selling under asking price?

Yes. As of 1/1/26, average sale-to-list ranges about 97.82%–99.18% across the included ZIPs.

Which Ahwatukee ZIP is most competitive right now?

As of 1/1/26, 85045 has the lowest months of supply (excl. UCB) at 2.6 and the highest average sale-to-list at 99.18% among the included ZIPs.

See nearby neighborhoods Chandler Tempe Gilbert

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Open: Ahwatukee ZIP daily snapshot tables (Today vs last month vs last year)

Ahwatukee Daily Market Snapshot — Single Family Detached (by ZIP)

Dates shown are the snapshot cut: 1/1/26 vs 12/1/25 vs 1/1/25.

85048 (Ahwatukee Foothills) — anchor

Metric	Today (1/1/26)	Same day last month (12/1/25)	Same day last year (1/1/25)
Active listings	90	81	78
Pending listings	12	19	14
Listings under contract	25	27	22
Sales per month	22	23	26
Days on market (sales)	75	81	58
Months of supply (excl. UCB)	3.5	3.2	2.7
Avg sale price % of list	97.82%	97.65%	97.62%
Median sold price (annual sales)	$625,000	$625,000	$615,000
Listing success rate	68.8%	71.9%	76.5%
Contract ratio	32	37	31

85044

Metric	Today (1/1/26)	Same day last month (12/1/25)	Same day last year (1/1/25)
Active listings	95	88	83
Pending listings	16	17	14
Listings under contract	27	32	34
Sales per month	21	36	33
Days on market (sales)	46	65	49
Months of supply (excl. UCB)	4.0	2.0	1.9
Avg sale price % of list	98.95%	97.78%	98.93%
Median sold price (annual sales)	$519,500	$515,000	$515,000
Listing success rate	84.0%	78.3%	78.6%
Contract ratio	32	44	54

85045

Metric	Today (1/1/26)	Same day last month (12/1/25)	Same day last year (1/1/25)
Active listings	27	33	27
Pending listings	7	4	2
Listings under contract	16	8	7
Sales per month	7	10	6
Days on market (sales)	76	101	57
Months of supply (excl. UCB)	2.6	2.9	3.7
Avg sale price % of list	99.18%	98.22%	99.23%
Median sold price (annual sales)	$660,000	$662,500	$649,500
Listing success rate	63.6%	71.4%	85.7%
Contract ratio	89	28	32

Note: “months of supply” here is reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory. Translation: it’s the “how many months to sell the current for-sale pile” number, and it’s one of the cleanest leverage reads.

Disclaimer (method): This post uses Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot ZIP metrics for Ahwatukee single-family detached homes, comparing 1/1/26 against the same-day snapshot from 12/1/25 (and 1/1/25 where shown). Numbers can shift as listings status-change and sales record. Verify current conditions for time-sensitive pricing or offer decisions.

Work with Andrea Scheppe

Phoenix native & award-winning Top Arizona REALTOR®

Relocating to Arizona or buying/selling in Greater Phoenix? Reach out to get on my calendar—I’ll give you real answers on the Phoenix housing market.

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Andrea Scheppe Phoenix, Arizona REALTOR®

Andrea Scheppe is a Phoenix native and award-winning, top Phoenix REALTOR® who specializes in helping home buyers who are relocating to the greater Phoenix area, as well as home sellers looking for max profit when selling their home. Andrea offers local insights on Tempe, Chandler, Scottsdale, Ahwatukee and the entire Valley of the Sun.

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