2025-12-25 2025-11-24 2024-12-25 As of : December 25, 2025 Compared to : November 24, 2025 Coverage : Mesa, AZ (city-level) • Source : Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)
Mesa • Arizona • Market Updates
Mesa Housing Market — December 2025 Q: What’s happening in the Mesa housing market right now?
A: As of December 25, 2025 , Mesa is seller-leaning with negotiation : 2.5 months of supply, median monthly sold price $500,000 , median DOM (sold) 70 days,
and an average sale-to-list of 97.83% .
This update is a rolling snapshot (today vs the same date last month ) so buyers and sellers can see where leverage is shifting without waiting for month-end wrap-ups.
Written by Andrea Scheppe , Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
Mesa reality check: Supply is a touch tighter vs last month (2.6 → 2.5 months ),
and buyers are paying slightly closer to ask on average (97.62% → 97.83% ).
Translation: good listings still win , but buyers can still negotiate—especially when condition or pricing is off.
Median sold price (monthly sales)
$500,000 FLAT (no change vs last month)
Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB)
2.5 mo TIGHTER (2.6 → 2.5)
Speed (median DOM, sold)
70 days SLOWER (68 → 70)
Negotiation (avg sale price % of list)
97.83% LESS GIVE (97.62% → 97.83%)
Market call Market: SELLER-LEANING (WITH NEGOTIATION)
Seller-leaning because Cromford® Market Index 119.2 (>100) and months of supply 2.5 (tight);
negotiation persists because sale-to-list 97.83% (below 100%).
Quick pulse shifts vs last month (11/24 → 12/25 ): active listings 1,248 → 1,067 , pending 227 → 199 ,
under contract 425 → 360 , and sales/month 408 → 365 .
Buyer standings — December 2025 Negotiation exists : average sale-to-list is 97.83% (credits/repairs/buydowns still happen).Know the speed : median DOM (sold) is 70 days — the best listings move first; the rest sit.Where leverage lives : price misses, deferred maintenance, and listings that ignore the comp range.Seller standings — December 2025 Still advantage : supply is tight (2.5 months ), and the market index reads seller-leaning (119.2 ).But it’s not automatic : average sale-to-list is 97.83% , meaning buyers are still negotiating on average.Pricing discipline matters : listing success rate is 71.4% (overpricing still fails).Notes & FAQ This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using Mesa single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.
It’s designed to answer “where do buyers and sellers stand right now?” without waiting for month-end reporting.
What is Mesa’s inventory right now?
About 2.5 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 12/25/25 .
Are buyers negotiating in Mesa?
On average, yes: sale-to-list is 97.83% as of 12/25/25 .
Is Mesa a buyer’s market?
No. It’s seller-leaning , but buyers gain leverage on stale/overpriced listings.
Open: Mesa daily snapshot table (Today vs last month) Mesa Daily Market Snapshot — Single Family Detached Metric Today (12/25/25) Same day last month (11/24/25) Same day last year (12/25/24) Active listings 1,067 1,248 1,077 Pending listings 199 227 208 Listings under contract 360 425 367 Sales per month 365 408 346 Days on market (sold) 70 68 63 Months of supply (excl. UCB) 2.5 2.6 2.7 Avg sale price % of list 97.83% 97.62% 97.72% Median price (monthly sales) $500,000 $500,000 $501,245 Listing success rate 71.4% 76.5% 76.4% Cromford® Market Index 119.2 106.5 104.1
Note: “months of supply” here is reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory. Use it to gauge leverage, then price/offer off comps and condition.
Disclaimer (method): This post uses the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot for Mesa single-family detached homes,
comparing 12/25/25 against the same-day snapshot from 11/24/25 (and 12/25/24 where shown). Numbers can shift as listings status-change and sales record.
Verify current conditions for time-sensitive pricing or offer decisions.
