Mesa • Arizona • Market Updates Mesa, AZ Housing Market September 2026 Mesa, AZ — city-level snapshot for single-family detached homes, refreshed against the same date last month.
What’s happening in the Mesa housing market right now? As of September 10, 2026 , Mesa is moderately seller-leaning : 2.9 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), median monthly sold price $492,500 , days on market (sold) 71 days, and an average sale-to-list of 98.34% . The Cromford® Market Index is 115.3 , effectively flat against 116.2 last month.
$492,500
UP
Median sold price
2.9 mo
MORE SUPPLY
Months of supply (excl. UCB)
71 days
SLOWER
Days on market (sold)
98.34%
STRONGER
Avg sale price % of list
Written by Andrea Scheppe , Phoenix native and full-time, award-winning REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
Mesa reality check: Inventory grew and closings fell at the same time. Active listings rose (1,145 → 1,198 ) while sales per month dropped (375 → 358 ), pushing months of supply from 2.6 to 2.9 . Both sides of that ratio moved against sellers, which is different from Chandler this month, where only the sales side moved. The median rose ($475,000 → $492,500 ) and average sold size rose with it (2,074 → 2,118 SF ), so bigger homes account for much of that move — sold $/SF was flat ($263.48 → $262.38 ). Negotiation went the seller’s way: sale-to-list improved to 98.34% , up from 98.19% last month and 97.47% a year ago. Pending fell to 241 from 250.
What this means Negotiation Homes are selling for about 98.34% of list price, roughly 1.66% under asking on average, or about $8,170 on a median-priced Mesa home. Stronger than last month’s 98.19% and stronger than last September’s 97.47%.
How much is for sale Inventory is 2.9 months (excluding UCB/CCBS), looser than last month’s 2.6 and looser than last September’s 2.6. Sellers keep the edge, with more competition than they had.
How long it takes Recently-sold homes averaged 71 days on market, up from 68 last month but well down from last September’s 80; active listings average 77 days .
Pricing reality ($/SF) Monthly sold $/SF is $262.38 while active list $/SF is $287.77 . That is a $25.40 spread. That gap is where the negotiation room sits, and it widened this month.
Market call: seller-leaning, more homes on the market Moderately seller-leaning because the Cromford® Market Index is 115.3 (above 100). The index barely moved from 116.2, and neither side drove it: the Supply Index was unchanged at 69.0 and the Demand Index slipped from 80.2 to 79.6 . Mesa is well above where it sat a year ago, when the index read 103.8.
Sale-to-list strengthened to 98.34% and under-contract $/SF rose to $274.67 from $265.44, so the deals being written are holding their price. Against that, listings under contract are down 12.4% year over year and the contract ratio fell to 39.6 from 41.1. The listing success rate eased to 75.2% from 76.4%.
Quick pulse vs last month (8/6 → 9/10): active listings 1,145 → 1,198 , pending 250 → 241 , under contract 406 → 408 , sales/month 375 → 358 .
Pricing per sq ft: active list $/SF $284.49 → $287.77 ; monthly sold $/SF $263.48 → $262.38 ; under contract $/SF $265.44 → $274.67 .
Buyer standings — September 2026 Here is the buyer takeaway for September 2026.
Negotiation tightened this month. Sale-to-list is 98.34% , about 1.66% under ask, or roughly $8,170 on a $492,500 home. That is the second-strongest sale-to-list of the Valley markets I track this month.You have more to choose from. Active listings rose to 1,198 and supply loosened to 2.9 months . More inventory, even as the negotiation number tightened.The per-foot gap is your lever. Active list is $287.77/sf against monthly sold $262.38/sf , a $25.40 spread. Target listings priced above the closing average, not the ones already priced right.Watch the stale listings. Sold days on market is 71 while active is 77 . The six-day gap is small, so a listing much past 77 days is an outlier worth an offer.Come prepared. CMI 115.3 with 2.9 months of supply. Mesa is still seller-leaning, and pre-approval plus clean terms decide competitive offers.Seller standings — September 2026 Your competition grew. Active listings rose to 1,198 from 1,145 while closings fell to 358 from 375. Both moves push supply up.Buyers are paying closer to ask. Sale-to-list improved to 98.34% , against 98.19% last month and 97.47% last September. Priced right, you are giving up less than you were.Price to the closing market. Buyers closed around $262.38/sf while active listings average $287.77/sf . That $25.40 premium is what stale listings are asking for.The median rose on size, not on value. Median went to $492,500 from $475,000, but average sold size went from 2,074 to 2,118 SF and sold $/SF was flat. Bigger houses sold; per-foot pricing did not move.Three in four listings close. The listing success rate is 75.2% , down from 76.4%. Pending fell to 241 , so the pipeline behind next month’s closings is thinner.Mesa daily market snapshot — single family detached Metric Today Last Month Last Quarter Last Year Two Years Ago Active listings 1,198 1,145 1,235 1,196 1,032 UCB & CCBS listings 167 156 235 189 189 Active listings excl. UCB 1,031 989 1,000 1,007 843 Pending listings 241 250 276 277 262 Listings under contract 408 406 511 466 451 Sales per month 358 375 486 389 312 Sales per year 4,845 4,876 4,842 4,611 4,423 Days on market (sold) 71 68 64 80 49 Days on market (active) 77 79 74 83 66 Days inventory excl. UCB 78 74 76 80 70 Months of supply (excl. UCB) 2.9 2.6 2.1 2.6 2.7 Active listings $/SF $287.77 $284.49 $286.50 $287.15 $287.96 Under contract $/SF $274.67 $265.44 $270.47 $268.99 $277.36 Monthly sales $/SF $262.38 $263.48 $272.26 $262.66 $272.31 Annual sales $/SF $267.38 $267.38 $267.74 $271.30 $272.55 Appreciation – monthly $/SF -0.1% -2.3% -1.5% -3.5% 3.0% Appreciation – annual $/SF -1.4% -1.7% -1.9% -0.5% 5.9% Appreciation – monthly median -0.5% -4.4% -2.1% -0.8% 5.0% Appreciation – annual median -0.4% -0.4% 1.0% 0.4% 4.5% Avg sale price % of list 98.34% 98.19% 98.03% 97.47% 98.37% Annual change supply 2.4% -8.3% -13.0% 19.5% 60.0% Annual change sales rate -2.3% 1.8% 8.6% 14.1% -12.6% Annual change under contract -12.4% -5.8% 2.0% 3.3% 16.8% Listing success rate 75.2% 76.4% 77.4% 75.0% 77.2% Monthly dollar volume $199M $205M $271M $215M $167M Annual dollar volume $2,693M $2,709M $2,703M $2,593M $2,482M Average price (monthly sales) $555,689 $546,427 $557,039 $553,016 $535,304 Average price (annual sales) $555,763 $555,549 $558,196 $562,278 $561,236 Median price (monthly sales) $492,500 $475,000 $475,000 $495,123 $499,000 Median price (annual sales) $490,000 $490,000 $494,940 $491,737 $490,000 Average SF – monthly sales 2,118 2,074 2,046 2,105 1,966 Average SF – annual sales 2,079 2,078 2,085 2,073 2,059 Contract ratio 39.6 41.1 51.1 46.3 53.5 Cromford® Supply Index 69.0 69.0 72.4 71.3 54.9 Cromford® Demand Index 79.6 80.2 87.5 74.1 65.2 Cromford® Market Index 115.3 116.2 120.8 103.8 118.6
Notes & FAQ What is Mesa’s inventory right now? About 2.9 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 9/10/26.
Are buyers negotiating in Mesa? Minimally: sale-to-list is 98.34% as of 9/10/26, about 1.66% under asking.
Is Mesa a buyer’s market right now? No by Cromford® Market Index: it’s 115.3 as of 9/10/26.
What is the median home price in Mesa right now? The median monthly sold price for Mesa single-family detached homes is $492,500 as of September 10, 2026, based on Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot data.
Nearby cities and sources This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using Mesa single-family detached resale activity in the Arizona Regional MLS.
Nearby markets: Phoenix Tempe Chandler
Disclaimer & source: The Cromford® Report daily market snapshot and commentary. Andrea Scheppe is licensed in Arizona. This update is information, not advice for a specific property.
Thinking of buying or selling in Mesa? I can walk you through what these numbers mean for your budget, your street and your timeline — as a Phoenix native and full-time, award-winning REALTOR®.
