Published : April 8, 2026 Data as of : March 26, 2026 Compared to : February 23, 2026 Coverage : Mesa, AZ (city-level) | Source : Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)
Mesa | Arizona | Market Updates
March 2026 Mesa Housing Market Update Mesa, AZ - city-level snapshot for single-family detached homes.
Q: What is happening in the Mesa housing market right now?
A: As of March 26, 2026 seller-leaning with buyer negotiation room : 2.5 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), median monthly sold price $500,000 , days on market (sold) 69 days,
and an average sale-to-list of 98.25% .
What this means Negotiation: Homes are selling for about 98.25% of list price on average - roughly 1.75% under asking, which is tighter than you might expect in a market with this much inventory movement.How much is for sale: Inventory sits at 2.5 months (excluding UCB/CCBS). That is still a seller-leaning supply level - buyers have fewer options than they did a year ago at this same metric.How long it takes: Recently-sold homes averaged 69 days on market; active listings average 71 days . Those two numbers being close together tells you the market is moving at a fairly steady pace.Pricing reality ($/SF): Monthly sold $/SF is $268.86 while active list $/SF is $288.12 . That gap is where pricing conversations happen. This is a rolling snapshot (today vs the same date last month ) so buyers and sellers can see leverage shifts without waiting for month-end reporting.
Written by Andrea Scheppe , Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
Mesa reality check: Active listings ticked up (1,247 → 1,275 ) while sales per month also climbed (367 → 406 ).
Pending listings jumped (292 → 342 ) and listings under contract rose (532 → 601 ), which is a solid sign of buyer activity picking up.
Median monthly sold price held firm at $500,000 (same as last month) and the Cromford® Market Index climbed to 115.6 , up from 118.6 last snapshot - still firmly seller-leaning.
Median sold price (monthly sales)
$500,000 FLAT ($490,000 → $500,000)
Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB)
2.5 mo TIGHTER (2.7 → 2.5)
Speed (DOM, sold)
69 days FASTER (73 → 69)
Negotiation (avg sale price % of list)
98.25% STRONGER (97.78% → 98.25%)
Market call Market: SELLER-LEANING (BUYERS HAVE SOME ROOM TO NEGOTIATE)
Seller-leaning because the Cromford® Market Index is 115.6 - anything over 100 puts sellers in the driver's seat.
Buyers still have some negotiating room because average sale price % of list is 98.25% , and active DOM is running at 71 days , so older listings do see movement on price.
At 2.5 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), this is not a market flush with choices - but it is not a frenzy either.
Quick pulse vs last month (2/23 → 3/26 1,247 → 1,275 , pending 292 → 342 ,
under contract 532 → 601 , and sales/month 367 → 406 .
Pricing per sq ft: Active list $/SF $282.80 → $288.12 ; Monthly sold $/SF $269.96 → $268.86 ; Under contract $/SF $276.58 → $273.71 .
Buyer standings - March 2026 (what to do) Hey, this is a lot of information but you do not have to absorb it all at once. Here is the short version of what matters for buyers right now.
Negotiation exists but is tight: Sale-to-list is 98.25% - you are not walking in and knocking 5% off. But you are also not in a bidding war on everything.Use the $/SF spread: Active list is $288.12/sf vs monthly sold $268.86/sf . If a home's list price per sq ft sits well above closed comps, that is your opening to negotiate price or ask for credits.Time helps on stale listings: Active DOM is 71 days . Homes that have been sitting are where concessions and price reductions tend to show up.Supply is still lean: At 2.5 months , the inventory of well-priced homes moves. Do not assume everything will wait for you.Seller standings - March 2026 (what matters) Seller-leaning, not a sure thing: CMI is 115.6 and supply is 2.5 months - that is favorable. But buyers are paying 98.25% of list on average, not over ask. Pricing still matters.Overpricing has a cost: Sold DOM is 69 days . Homes that sit past that window tend to attract lower offers and more conditions - not a place you want to be.Price to the closing market: Buyers are closing around $268.86/sf (monthly sold). Active listings are asking $288.12/sf . The closer you are to supported comps, the faster and cleaner your sale.Execution is not optional: Listing success rate is 79.6% - roughly 1 in 5 listings does not sell. Photos, prep, pricing, and access separate the successful group from the ones that sit.Notes & FAQ This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using Mesa single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.
It is designed to answer "where do buyers and sellers stand right now?" without waiting for month-end reporting.
Quick definitions: Months of supply = how much is for sale, DOM = how long it takes, sale-to-list = how much people negotiate, and $/SF = price per square foot.
What is Mesa's inventory right now?
About 2.5 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 3/26/26
Are buyers negotiating in Mesa?
There is some room: sale-to-list is 98.25% as of 3/26/26
Is Mesa a buyer's market right now?
No - the Cromford® Market Index is 115.6 as of 3/26/26
What is the median home price in Mesa right now?
The median sold price for single-family detached homes (monthly sales) is $500,000 as of 3/26/26
Open: Mesa daily snapshot table (Today vs last month vs last quarter vs last year vs 2 years ago) Mesa Daily Market Snapshot - Single Family Detached Metric Today (3/26/26 ) Same day last month (2/23/26 ) Last quarter (12/24/25 ) Same day last year (3/26/25 ) 2 years ago (3/25/24 ) Active listings 1,275 1,247 1,073 1,330 919 UCB & CCBS listings 259 240 162 226 216 Active listings excl. UCB 1,016 1,007 911 1,104 703 Pending listings 342 292 207 325 344 Listings under contract 601 532 369 551 560 Sales per month 406 367 378 436 451 Days on market (sold) 69 73 70 69 59 Days on market (active) 71 76 89 73 69 Days inventory excl. UCB 78 77 71 88 56 Months of supply (excl. UCB) 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.5 1.6 Active listings $/SF $288.12 $282.80 $282.32 $292.16 $288.30 Under contract $/SF $273.71 $276.58 $271.67 $277.60 $283.87 Monthly sales $/SF $268.86 $269.96 $270.11 $271.00 $267.73 Annual sales $/SF $268.68 $268.59 $268.89 $273.59 $263.64 Appreciation - monthly $/SF -0.8% -0.9% -1.5% 0.9% 4.5% Appreciation - annual $/SF -1.8% -1.7% -1.5% 3.7% -1.7% Appreciation - monthly median 2.1% 1.6% -1.0% -0.5% 6.5% Appreciation - annual median 0.2% -0.1% -1.0% 2.4% 0.5% Avg sale price % of list 98.25% 97.78% 97.81% 98.38% 98.53% Listing success rate 79.6% 80.5% 71.5% 79.1% 82.3% Monthly dollar volume $230M $198M $220M $238M $250M Annual dollar volume $2,687M $2,670M $2,642M $2,575M $2,488M Average price (monthly sales) $566,508 $539,390 $581,599 $545,863 $555,249 Median price (monthly sales) $500,000 $490,000 $500,000 $489,500 $490,000 Average SF - monthly sales 2,107 1,998 2,153 2,014 2,074 Contract ratio 59.2 52.8 40.5 49.9 79.7 Cromford® Supply Index 71.2 67.5 67.5 74.1 48.2 Cromford® Demand Index 82.3 82.0 80.0 77.5 77.1 Cromford® Market Index 115.6 121.5 118.6 104.5 159.8
Note: months of supply is reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory.
Disclaimer (method): This post uses the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot for Mesa single-family detached homes,
comparing 3/26/26 2/23/26
