Published : June 27, 2026 Data as of : June 25, 2026 Compared to : May 25, 2026 Coverage : Mesa, AZ (city-level) • Source : Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)
Mesa • Arizona • Market Updates
Mesa Housing Market June 2026 Mesa, AZ - city-level snapshot for single-family detached homes.
Q: What is happening in the Mesa housing market right now?
A: As of June 25, 2026 seller-leaning with modest buyer negotiation room : 2.2 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), median monthly sold price $480,000 , days on market (sold) 64 days,
and an average sale-to-list of 98.34% . The Cromford® Market Index is 120.6 - essentially unchanged from last month's 119.8.
What this means Negotiation: Homes are selling for about 98.34% of list price on average - roughly 1.66% under asking. That firmed from last month's 97.94%, so buyers have a little less room than they did.How much is for sale: Inventory sits at 2.2 months (excluding UCB/CCBS) - about even with 2.3 last month and tighter than last quarter (2.5) and last year (2.8). Buyers have fewer choices than at any point in the past year shown in this snapshot.How long it takes: Recently-sold homes averaged 64 days on market, down from 67; active listings average 76 days . The gap between those two numbers tells you well-priced homes are moving faster than the broader active pool.Pricing reality ($/SF): Monthly sold $/SF is $267.41 while active list $/SF is $288.42 . That spread is where overpriced listings get tested. This is a rolling snapshot (today vs the same date last month ) so buyers and sellers can see leverage shifts without waiting for month-end reporting.
Written by Andrea Scheppe , Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
Mesa reality check: The Cromford® Market Index held essentially flat at 120.6 (from 119.8), and both sides cooled together - the Supply Index eased (74.2 to 71.0 ) and the Demand Index eased (88.9 to 85.7 ), so the balance barely moved.
Closings dipped slightly (456 to 443 ) while supply stayed lean at 2.2 months (excluding UCB/CCBS).
Pricing softened on both measures this month: the median monthly sold price slipped from $487,500 to $480,000 and monthly sold $/SF fell from $274.33 to $267.41 , with average closed size about flat (2,058 to 2,070 sq ft) - so this is a modest pricing pullback, not a size-mix artifact.
The seller-execution signal is the listing success rate, which dropped from 82.8% to 75.6% . On the other side, sold DOM improved to 64 days and sale-to-list firmed to 98.34% . Seller-leaning, holding steady, with a softer pricing and success-rate read.
Median sold price (monthly sales)
$480,000 DOWN ($487,500 → $480,000)
Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB)
2.2 mo FLAT (2.3 → 2.2)
Speed (DOM, sold)
64 days FASTER (67 → 64)
Negotiation (avg sale price % of list)
98.34% STRONGER (97.94% → 98.34%)
Market call Market: SELLER-LEANING - HOLDING STEADY
Seller-leaning because the Cromford® Market Index is 120.6 - anything over 100 puts sellers in the driver's seat. The index barely moved from 119.8, and both sides cooled together: the Supply Index eased from 74.2 to 71.0 and the Demand Index from 88.9 to 85.7 . This is a steady market, not a turning one.
Buyers have modest negotiating room because average sale price % of list is 98.34% - firmer than last month - and active DOM is running at 76 days , so listings that have been sitting tend to see some movement on price.
At 2.2 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), this is a lean inventory market - well-priced homes are not sitting. The signals that cut against the steady headline: the median eased to $480,000 , monthly sold $/SF dipped to $267.41 , and the listing success rate fell to 75.6% .
Quick pulse vs last month (5/25 → 6/25 1,298 → 1,212 , pending 291 → 266 ,
under contract 551 → 498 , and sales/month 456 → 443 .
Pricing per sq ft: Active list $/SF $287.22 → $288.42 ; Monthly sold $/SF $274.33 → $267.41 ; Under contract $/SF $274.72 → $271.79 .
Asking prices firmed while closed prices eased - the per-foot pullback is where this month's softer pricing shows up.
Buyer standings - June 2026 (what to do) Here is the buyer takeaway for June 2026.
Negotiation exists but is modest: Sale-to-list is 98.34% - about 1.66% under ask on average, a little firmer than last month's 97.94%. You are not knocking 5% off, but the right offer still gets traction.The $/SF spread widened a little: Active list is $288.42/sf vs monthly sold $267.41/sf - about $21 apart. Listings priced well above that closed number are where reductions show up.Time helps on stale listings: Active DOM is 76 days while sold homes averaged 64. Homes that have been sitting past that average are where concessions and price reductions tend to show up.Supply stayed lean: Months of supply held at 2.2 , about even with 2.3 last month, while closings ran at 443 . The inventory of well-priced homes moves - do not assume everything will wait for you.On the price read: Both the median ($480,000 ) and sold $/SF ($267.41 ) eased this month, with average closed size about flat. That is a modest pricing pullback - anchor your offer to recent closed comps, not the headline median.Seller standings - June 2026 (what matters) Seller-leaning and steady: CMI is 120.6 , flat from 119.8, and supply is down to 2.2 months - favorable territory. Buyers are paying 98.34% of list on average, not over ask, so pricing still matters.The success rate drop is your warning light: Listing success fell from 82.8% to 75.6% this month - roughly one in four listings is now failing to sell. The market is lean, but it is punishing weak pricing and presentation harder than it did last month.Pricing softened this month: Monthly median fell to $480,000 and sold $/SF dipped to $267.41 , with average closed size about flat. Your specific home's value is what closed comps say it is - price to this month's closings, not last month's.Price to the closing market: Buyers are closing around $267.41/sf and going under contract at $271.79/sf ; active listings are asking $288.42/sf . The under-contract number is where serious buyers are playing right now.Speed actually improved: Sold DOM moved from 67 to 64 days and sale-to-list firmed to 98.34% . Homes priced right are still moving - it is the overpriced ones dragging the success rate.Notes & FAQ This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using Mesa single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.
It is designed to answer "where do buyers and sellers stand right now?" without waiting for month-end reporting.
Quick definitions: Months of supply = how much is for sale, DOM = how long it takes, sale-to-list = how much people negotiate, and $/SF = price per square foot.
What is Mesa's inventory right now?
About 2.2 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 6/25/26
Are buyers negotiating in Mesa?
There is some room: sale-to-list is 98.34% as of 6/25/26
Is Mesa a buyer's market right now?
No - the Cromford® Market Index is 120.6 as of 6/25/26
What is the median home price in Mesa right now?
The median sold price for single-family detached homes (monthly sales) is $480,000 as of 6/25/26
Open: Mesa daily snapshot table (Today vs last month vs last quarter vs last year vs 2 years ago) Mesa Daily Market Snapshot - Single Family Detached Metric Today (6/25/26 ) Same day last month (5/25/26 ) Last quarter (3/25/26 ) Same day last year (6/25/25 ) 2 years ago (6/25/24 ) Active listings 1,212 1,298 1,301 1,380 960 UCB & CCBS listings 232 260 251 208 206 Active listings excl. UCB 980 1,038 1,050 1,172 754 Pending listings 266 291 337 251 297 Listings under contract 498 551 588 459 503 Sales per month 443 456 424 412 421 Sales per year 4,833 4,802 4,802 4,562 4,475 Days on market (sold) 64 67 68 67 47 Days on market (active) 76 75 71 79 58 Days inventory excl. UCB 74 79 80 94 62 Months of supply (excl. UCB) 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 1.8 Active listings $/SF $288.42 $287.22 $287.82 $287.96 $286.86 Under contract $/SF $271.79 $274.72 $274.05 $268.46 $280.18 Monthly sales $/SF $267.41 $274.33 $267.91 $271.86 $275.16 Annual sales $/SF $267.45 $267.82 $268.57 $272.77 $270.79 Appreciation - monthly $/SF -1.6% -0.8% -1.4% -1.2% 6.9% Appreciation - annual $/SF -2.0% -1.9% -1.9% 0.7% 4.6% Appreciation - monthly median -1.8% -1.5% 2.9% -0.3% -2.0% Appreciation - annual median 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 4.2% Avg sale price % of list 98.34% 97.94% 98.18% 98.42% 98.33% Annual change supply -16.4% -13.2% -5.7% 55.4% 65.0% Annual change sales rate 5.7% -1.4% -0.9% -5.3% -4.0% Annual change under contract 8.5% 12.9% 7.9% -8.7% 0.6% Listing success rate 75.6% 82.8% 80.5% 72.2% 81.6% Monthly dollar volume $245M $257M $241M $230M $231M Annual dollar volume $2,696M $2,681M $2,697M $2,567M $2,498M Average price (monthly sales) $553,664 $564,498 $568,034 $558,147 $549,478 Average price (annual sales) $557,866 $558,278 $561,700 $562,615 $558,105 Median price (monthly sales) $480,000 $487,500 $502,500 $488,675 $490,000 Median price (annual sales) $493,000 $495,000 $495,000 $490,000 $489,900 Average SF - monthly sales 2,070 2,058 2,120 2,053 1,997 Average SF - annual sales 2,086 2,084 2,091 2,063 2,061 Contract ratio 50.8 53.1 56.0 39.2 66.7 Cromford® Supply Index 71.0 74.2 71.3 79.9 51.4 Cromford® Demand Index 85.7 88.9 82.4 74.7 72.4 Cromford® Market Index 120.6 119.8 115.6 93.5 140.7
Note: months of supply is reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory.
Disclaimer (method): This post uses the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot for Mesa single-family detached homes,
comparing 6/25/26 5/25/26
