Published: • Data as of: • Compared to: • Coverage: Apache Junction, AZ (city-level) • Source: Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)
Apache Junction • Arizona • Market Updates
March 2026 Apache Junction Housing Market Update
Apache Junction, AZ — city-level snapshot for single-family detached homes.
Q: What's happening in the Apache Junction housing market right now?
A: As of , Apache Junction is a strong seller's market:
only 2.0 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), median monthly sold price $448,950,
days on market (sold) 82 days, and an average sale-to-list of 97.84%.
The Cromford® Market Index is 151.7 — well into seller territory.
What this means in plain English
- Negotiation: Homes are selling for about 97.84% of list price — roughly 2.16% under asking. On a $448,950 home, that's about $9,700 off. Sellers have the upper hand here.
- How much is for sale: Only 2.0 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS). A balanced market is 4–6 months. At 2.0, buyers have limited options and less time to think.
- How long it takes: Recently-sold homes averaged 82 days on market. Active listings are moving faster too — active DOM dropped from 79 to 74 days month over month.
- Pricing reality ($/SF): Active listings are asking $283.97/SF while homes are closing at $271.04/SF. That gap is where negotiations happen — well-priced homes close faster and cleaner.
This is a rolling snapshot (today vs the same date last month) so buyers and sellers can track leverage shifts in real time.
Written by Andrea Scheppe, Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
Apache Junction reality check: This market picked up steam heading into spring.
Monthly sales jumped from 52 to 86 — a big move — while supply tightened from 3.0 to 2.0 months.
The median sale price rose from $421,680 to $448,950, and the listing success rate climbed from 81.1% to 92.7%.
The Cromford® Market Index sits at 151.7, up from 136.9 last month, signaling sellers are gaining even more leverage.
Median sold price (monthly sales)
$448,950 UP ($421,680 → $448,950)
Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB)
2.0 mo TIGHTER (3.0 → 2.0)
Speed (DOM, sold)
82 days SLOWER (73 → 82)
Negotiation (avg sale price % of list)
97.84% SOFTER (99.27% → 97.84%)
Market call
Market: STRONG SELLER'S MARKET
The Cromford® Market Index is 151.7 — anything above 110 is seller-leaning, and Apache Junction is well past that.
Supply is just 2.0 months, sales volume surged month over month, and the listing success rate hit 92.7%.
Nearly every home that comes to market is selling.
Month over month ( → ):
active listings 188 → 205, pending 95 → 81,
under contract 126 → 113, sales/month 52 → 86.
Pricing per sq ft: Active list $/SF $289.75 → $283.97; Monthly sold $/SF $276.82 → $271.04; Under contract $/SF $269.58 → $268.69.
Buyer standings — March 2026 (what to do)
- Move with a plan: Supply is only 2.0 months. Good homes don't sit long. Get pre-approved before you start seriously looking — sellers won't wait on financing.
- Understand the $/SF gap: Homes are listing at $283.97/SF and closing at $271.04/SF. If a home is priced above what closed comps support, that's your negotiation window.
- Expect to pay close to asking: Sale-to-list is 97.84%. You're not walking away with big discounts here — budget realistically.
- Apache Junction is affordable by Phoenix Metro standards: Median sale of $448,950 with average square footage of 1,997 SF makes this one of the better value plays in the East Valley right now.
Seller standings — March 2026 (what matters)
- The market is working for you: CMI of 151.7, listing success rate of 92.7%, and sales jumping from 52 to 86 in one month. Conditions are strong.
- Price it right and it sells: Buyers are closing at $271.04/SF. Price significantly above that and you'll sit — which in a market this active, stands out for the wrong reasons.
- Appreciation is real but measured: Annual median appreciation is 3.4%. That's healthy, not a bubble. Don't over-reach on list price banking on hype.
- Prep matters: Even with a 92.7% success rate, roughly 1 in 13 listings doesn't sell. Good photos, honest condition, and clean pricing keep you on the right side of that stat.
Notes & FAQ
This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using Apache Junction single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.
Built to answer "where do buyers and sellers stand right now?" without waiting for month-end reporting.
Quick definitions: Months of supply = how much is for sale; DOM = how long it takes to sell; sale-to-list = how much buyers are negotiating; $/SF = price per square foot.
What is Apache Junction's inventory right now?
About 2.0 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of . That's well below the 4–6 months considered balanced.
Are buyers negotiating in Apache Junction?
A little — sale-to-list is 97.84% as of . That's about 2.16% under asking on average.
Is Apache Junction a buyer's market or seller's market right now?
Seller's market. The Cromford® Market Index is 151.7 as of — well above the 110 threshold that signals seller advantage.
What is the median home price in Apache Junction right now?
The median sale price for single-family homes is $448,950 as of March 26, 2026, based on monthly closed sales tracked by Cromford®.
Is now a good time to sell in Apache Junction?
Yes. With a listing success rate of 92.7%, only 2.0 months of supply, and monthly sales nearly doubling month over month, conditions favor sellers heading into spring 2026.
Open: Apache Junction daily snapshot table (Today vs last month vs last quarter vs last year vs 2 years ago)
Apache Junction Daily Market Snapshot — Single Family Detached
| Metric | Today () | Last month () | Last quarter () | Last year () | 2 years ago () |
|---|
| Active listings | 205 | 188 | 173 | 191 | 111 |
| UCB & CCBS listings | 32 | 31 | 22 | 27 | 18 |
| Active listings excl. UCB | 173 | 157 | 151 | 164 | 93 |
| Pending listings | 81 | 95 | 60 | 67 | 53 |
| Listings under contract | 113 | 126 | 82 | 94 | 71 |
| Sales per month | 86 | 52 | 73 | 70 | 53 |
| Sales per year | 717 | 707 | 713 | 660 | 558 |
| Days on market (sold) | 82 | 73 | 75 | 69 | 63 |
| Days on market (active) | 74 | 79 | 100 | 79 | 80 |
| Days inventory excl. UCB | 88 | 81 | 78 | 91 | 61 |
| Months of supply excl. UCB | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Active listings $/SF | $283.97 | $289.75 | $287.37 | $304.09 | $340.16 |
| Under contract $/SF | $268.69 | $269.58 | $260.92 | $274.29 | $277.41 |
| Monthly sales $/SF | $271.04 | $276.82 | $251.76 | $274.24 | $273.71 |
| Annual sales $/SF | $260.73 | $261.04 | $260.65 | $268.40 | $264.91 |
| Avg sale price % of list | 97.84% | 99.27% | 98.56% | 98.49% | 98.44% |
| Listing success rate | 92.7% | 81.1% | 79.7% | 91.7% | 91.5% |
| Monthly dollar volume | $47M | $28M | $37M | $36M | $24M |
| Annual dollar volume | $357M | $351M | $355M | $321M | $249M |
| Average price (monthly sales) | $541,367 | $533,910 | $508,862 | $517,405 | $459,195 |
| Average price (annual sales) | $497,959 | $496,314 | $498,536 | $486,843 | $445,842 |
| Median price (monthly sales) | $448,950 | $421,680 | $480,000 | $450,495 | $415,000 |
| Median price (annual sales) | $447,000 | $449,000 | $453,990 | $432,268 | $404,840 |
| Average SF (monthly sales) | 1,997 | 1,929 | 2,021 | 1,887 | 1,678 |
| Average SF (annual sales) | 1,910 | 1,901 | 1,913 | 1,814 | 1,683 |
| Contract ratio | 65.3 | 80.3 | 54.3 | 57.3 | 76.3 |
| Cromford® Supply Index | 93.9 | 91.7 | 87.7 | 89.1 | 55.5 |
| Cromford® Demand Index | 142.5 | 125.6 | 136.1 | 142.3 | 99.3 |
| Cromford® Market Index | 151.7 | 136.9 | 155.1 | 159.6 | 178.8 |
Note: "months of supply" is reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory.
Disclaimer (method): This post uses the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot for Apache Junction single-family detached homes,
comparing against the same-day snapshot from (and prior periods where shown). Numbers can shift as listings status-change and sales record.
Verify current conditions for time-sensitive pricing or offer decisions.
