Published : April 8, 2026 Data as of : March 26, 2026 Compared to : February 23, 2026 Coverage : San Tan Valley, AZ (city-level) | Source : Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)
San Tan Valley → Arizona → Market Updates
San Tan Valley Housing Market March 2026 San Tan Valley, AZ - city-level snapshot for single-family detached homes.
Q: What's happening in the San Tan Valley housing market right now?
A: As of March 26, 2026 a balanced-to-buyer market : 3.9 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS), median monthly sold price $450,000 , days on market (sold) 80 days,
and an average sale-to-list of 98.40% . The Cromford® Market Index sits at 66.5 , which places this market in buyer-leaning territory.
What this means Negotiation: Homes are selling for about 98.40% of list price - roughly 1.6% under asking on average. That gap is real money at San Tan Valley price points.How much is for sale: Inventory sits at 3.9 months (excluding UCB/CCBS). Supply is holding steady from last month - no flood of homes, but buyers have options.How long it takes: Recently sold homes averaged 80 days on market; active listings are averaging 88 days . That's a slight improvement in speed month over month.Pricing reality ($/SF): Monthly sold $/SF is $232.58 while active list $/SF is $241.25 . The gap is narrow here, which is a healthier signal than many Valley cities right now. This is a rolling snapshot (today vs the same date last month ) so buyers and sellers can see leverage shifts without waiting for month-end reporting.
Written by Andrea Scheppe , Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
San Tan Valley reality check: Median price jumped meaningfully month over month - from $435,000 to $450,000 - which is the highest monthly median this city has seen in the data window shown. Sales pace picked up (218 → 229 per month ), active inventory nudged up (991 → 1,014 ), and sold DOM actually improved (96 → 80 days ). The CMI dropped slightly (70.8 → 66.5 ), staying in buyer-leaning range. Year over year, annual sales are up 7.1% and median price is flat at 0.0% appreciation - a stable, not declining, market.
Median sold price (monthly sales)
$450,000 UP ($435,000 → $450,000)
Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB)
3.9 mo FLAT (3.9 → 3.9)
Speed (DOM, sold)
80 days FASTER (96 → 80)
Negotiation (avg sale price % of list)
98.40% STRONGER (97.81% → 98.40%)
Market call Market: BUYER-LEANING (BUT SELLERS ARE MOVING HOMES)
Buyer-leaning because the Cromford® Market Index is 66.5 - anything under 100 tilts toward buyers. That said, sellers closed 229 homes last month at 98.40% of list price , so the market isn't soft. It's more accurate to say buyers have options and a little leverage, but well-priced homes in San Tan Valley are still selling.
Quick pulse vs last month (2/23 → 3/26 991 → 1,014 , pending 231 → 244 ,
under contract 361 → 371 , and sales/month 218 → 229 .
Pricing per sq ft: Active list $/SF $240.57 → $241.25 ; Monthly sold $/SF $226.07 → $232.58 ; Under contract $/SF $238.95 → $231.73 .
Sold $/SF is trending up while under-contract $/SF eased - worth watching next month.
Buyer standings - March 2026 (what to do) Hey, this is a lot of information but you don't have to absorb it all at once - here's the short version for buyers right now.
The CMI is on your side: At 66.5 , this market leans toward buyers. That doesn't mean sellers are desperate, but it does mean you have room to ask questions and negotiate without losing the deal.Sale-to-list is improving: Buyers are closing at 98.40% of list - tighter than last month's 97.81% . Good homes in good condition are attracting stronger offers again.Watch the $/SF gap: Active listings are asking $241.25/SF ; closed sales came in at $232.58/SF . That spread is a conversation starter if a home has been sitting.DOM is improving fast: Sold homes went from 96 days to 80 days in a single month. Spring momentum is real - don't assume you have infinite time on the right home.Seller standings - March 2026 (what matters) Median price hit a new high in this window: $450,000 for monthly sales is the strongest reading in the data shown, up from $435,000 last month. That's a real tailwind if you're priced right.The CMI says buyers have leverage: 66.5 means this isn't a list-it-and-forget-it market. Positioning and preparation matter more when buyers have options.Speed is recovering: DOM dropped from 96 to 80 days . If your home has been sitting, that's a pricing or presentation issue - not a market issue.Listing success rate is 76.1%: About 1 in 4 listings in San Tan Valley doesn't close. Photos, prep, access, and price accuracy decide which side of that stat you end up on.Annual sales volume is up 7.1% year over year: More homes are trading hands. The market has depth - buyers are out there.Notes & FAQ This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using San Tan Valley single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.
It's built to answer "where do buyers and sellers stand right now?" without waiting for month-end reporting.
Quick definitions: Months of supply = how much is for sale, DOM = how long it takes to sell, sale-to-list = how much buyers negotiate, $/SF = price per square foot.
What is San Tan Valley's inventory right now?
About 3.9 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 3/26/26
Are buyers negotiating in San Tan Valley?
Some, yes - sale-to-list is 98.40% as of 3/26/26
Is San Tan Valley a buyer's market right now?
By Cromford® Market Index, yes - it's 66.5 as of 3/26/26
What is the median home price in San Tan Valley in 2026?
The median monthly sold price for single-family detached homes in San Tan Valley was $450,000 as of 3/26/26
Open: San Tan Valley daily snapshot table (Today vs last month vs last quarter vs last year vs 2 years ago) San Tan Valley Daily Market Snapshot - Single Family Detached Metric Today (3/26/26 ) Same day last month (2/23/26 ) Last quarter (12/24/25 ) Same day last year (3/26/25 ) 2 years ago (3/25/24 ) Active listings 1,014 991 878 997 645 UCB & CCBS listings 127 130 84 124 112 Active listings excl. UCB 887 861 794 873 533 Pending listings 244 231 169 257 236 Listings under contract 371 361 253 381 348 Sales per month 229 218 250 225 234 Sales per year 3,088 3,058 3,037 2,708 2,474 Days on market (sold) 80 96 74 76 73 Days on market (active) 88 90 98 77 72 Days inventory excl. UCB 105 103 96 118 79 Months of supply (excl. UCB) 3.9 3.9 3.2 3.9 2.3 Active listings $/SF $241.25 $240.57 $239.72 $248.69 $254.21 Under contract $/SF $231.73 $238.95 $222.40 $234.96 $237.36 Monthly sales $/SF $232.58 $226.07 $231.31 $225.48 $235.29 Annual sales $/SF $226.83 $226.25 $227.16 $229.02 $222.71 Appreciation - monthly $/SF 3.2% -3.1% 0.1% -4.1% 10.3% Appreciation - annual $/SF -1.0% -1.6% -0.9% 2.8% -4.6% Appreciation - monthly median 7.8% 0.9% 2.4% -4.9% 10.1% Appreciation - annual median 0.0% 0.0% -0.2% 1.2% -5.6% Avg sale price % of list 98.40% 97.81% 98.56% 99.09% 99.09% Annual change supply 1.6% 3.5% 6.6% 64.1% -1.7% Annual change sales rate 7.1% 10.6% 17.6% -6.6% 17.7% Annual change under contract -2.6% 7.4% 7.7% 8.2% -6.7% Listing success rate 76.1% 76.5% 71.0% 76.8% 71.6% Monthly dollar volume $116M $107M $127M $105M $115M Annual dollar volume $1,490M $1,464M $1,450M $1,300M $1,158M Average price (monthly sales) $505,435 $492,989 $507,244 $467,770 $491,247 Average price (annual sales) $482,364 $478,732 $477,607 $480,079 $468,013 Median price (monthly sales) $450,000 $435,000 $435,000 $417,500 $439,735 Median price (annual sales) $430,000 $429,945 $429,000 $429,990 $425,000 Average SF (monthly sales) 2,173 2,181 2,193 2,075 2,088 Average SF (annual sales) 2,126 2,116 2,103 2,096 2,101 Contract ratio 41.8 41.9 31.9 43.6 65.3 Cromford® Supply Index 140.9 136.7 134.3 141.7 89.9 Cromford® Demand Index 93.7 96.7 96.8 87.7 88.8 Cromford® Market Index (CMI) 66.5 70.8 72.1 61.9 98.8
Note: months of supply reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory.
Disclaimer (method): This post uses the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot for San Tan Valley single-family detached homes,
comparing 3/26/26 2/23/26
