2026-01-01 As of: January 1, 2026 • Compared to: December 1, 2025 • Source: Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot (Single Family Detached)
Tempe • Arizona • Market Updates
Tempe Housing Market — January 2026
Q: What’s happening in the Tempe housing market right now?
A: As of January 1, 2026, Tempe is seller-leaning on the Cromford® Market Index (123.7, where 100 is roughly balanced).
Inventory is 2.1 months of supply (excl. UCB/CCBS), median DOM (sold) is 73 days,
and average sale-to-list is 96.52%. Median sold price is $571,250 (monthly sales) and $550,000 (annual sales).
This is a rolling snapshot (today vs the same date last month) so buyers and sellers can see leverage shifts without waiting for month-end wrap-ups.
Written by Andrea Scheppe, Phoenix native and REALTOR® with HomeSmart Elite, Valley Solutions Team.
Tempe reality check: supply tightened (2.6 → 2.1 months) and sales/month rose (65 → 70),
while DOM (sold) moved slower (66 → 73 days). Market index is above 100 (123.7), which is why this reads seller-leaning right now.
Median sold price (monthly sales)
$571,250 UP ($525,000 → $571,250)
Inventory (months of supply, excl. UCB)
2.1 mo TIGHTER (2.6 → 2.1)
Speed (median DOM, sold)
73 days SLOWER (66 → 73)
Negotiation (avg sale price % of list)
96.52% LOOSER (97.81% → 96.52%)
Market call
Market: SELLER-LEANING
Cromford® Market Index is 123.7 (above 100), with 2.1 months of supply (excl. UCB/CCBS).
That index + supply combo is why this reads seller-leaning right now.
Quick pulse shifts vs last month (12/1 → 1/1):
actives 212 → 173, pending 37 → 28, under contract 80 → 55, sales/month 65 → 70.
Buyer standings — January 2026
- Inventory is tighter: 2.1 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 1/1/26.
- Watch the discount line: average sale-to-list is 96.52% as of 1/1/26.
- Speed is slower than last month: median DOM (sold) is 73 days (vs 66 on 12/1/25).
Seller standings — January 2026
- Pricing moved up: median monthly sold price is $571,250 (vs $525,000 on 12/1/25).
- Not everything closes: listing success rate is 66.0% as of 1/1/26.
- Expect longer timelines than last month: DOM (sold) is 73 (vs 66 on 12/1/25).
Notes & FAQ
This is a rolling daily snapshot (today vs the same date last month), using Tempe single-family detached metrics from the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot.
What is Tempe’s inventory right now?
About 2.1 months of supply (excluding UCB/CCBS) as of 1/1/26.
Are buyers negotiating in Tempe?
On average, yes: sale-to-list is 96.52% as of 1/1/26.
Is Tempe a buyer’s market?
It reads seller-leaning on the Cromford® Market Index (123.7) as of 1/1/26.
Open: Tempe daily snapshot table (Today vs last month vs last year)
Tempe Daily Market Snapshot — Single Family Detached
| Metric | Today (1/1/26) | Same day last month (12/1/25) | Same day last year (1/1/25) | 2 years ago (1/1/24) |
|---|
| Active listings | 173 | 212 | 158 | 133 |
| UCB & CCBS listings | 27 | 43 | 19 | 16 |
| Active listings excl. UCB | 146 | 169 | 139 | 117 |
| Pending listings | 28 | 37 | 39 | 27 |
| Listings under contract | 55 | 80 | 58 | 43 |
| Sales per month | 70 | 65 | 80 | 53 |
| Days on market (sales) | 73 | 66 | 62 | 38 |
| Months of supply (excl. UCB) | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Avg sale price % of list | 96.52% | 97.81% | 98.33% | 96.37% |
| Median price (monthly sales) | $571,250 | $525,000 | $524,950 | $504,900 |
| Median price (annual sales) | $550,000 | $545,000 | $540,000 | $515,000 |
| Listing success rate | 66.0% | 69.9% | 74.1% | 66.3% |
| Cromford® Market Index | 123.7 | 109.2 | 136.8 | 109.1 |
Note: “months of supply” here is reported excluding UCB/CCBS inventory.
Disclaimer (method): This post uses the Cromford® Daily Market Snapshot for Tempe single-family detached homes,
comparing 1/1/26 against the same-day snapshot from 12/1/25 (and 1/1/25 / 1/1/24 where shown). Numbers can shift as listings status-change and sales record.
Verify current conditions for time-sensitive pricing or offer decisions.
